Analysis / ReportAlternative Nuclear Futures: Capability and Credibility Challenges for U.S. Extended Nuclear DeterrenceByHeather Williams, Kelsey Hartigan, Joseph Rodgers and Reja YounisPublished May 9, 2023The U.S. extended deterrence could change drastically in the next decade due to increasing nuclear threats from countries such as Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran. The credibility of U.S. security guarantees for its allies is at risk, and the CSIS Project on Nuclear Issues used an “alternative futures” approach to explore how this mission might be affected. In all scenarios explored, the United States faces a credibility problem that will require a new approach to consulting, planning, training, and operating with allies.
Analysis / Next Gen CommunityOn the Horizon Vol. 5: A Collection of Papers from the Next GenerationByReja Younis and Jess LinkPublished Feb 28, 2023The Nuclear Scholars Initiative is a signature program run by the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) to engage emerging nuclear experts in thoughtful and informed debate over how to best address the nuclear community’s most pressing problems. The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2022 Nuclear Scholars Initiative. Series On The Horizon
Analysis On the Horizon Vol. 4: A Collection of Papers from the Next Generation of Nuclear ProfessionalsByReja YounisPublished May 13, 2022The Nuclear Scholars Initiative is a signature program run by the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) to engage emerging nuclear experts in thoughtful and informed debate over how to best address the nuclear community’s most pressing problems. The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2021 Nuclear Scholars Initiative. These papers… Series On The Horizon
Analysis / ReportThe Adversary Gets a VoteByRebecca Hersman and Reja YounisPublished Oct 29, 2021As the Department of Defense (DoD) further develops integrated deterrence as its overarching strategic concept, it will become increasingly important to appreciate the stability risks and benefits associated with emerging intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities, from both an arms-race and crisis-management perspective.
Analysis / Next Gen Community, ReportOn the Horizon: A Collection of the Papers from the Next GenerationByReja YounisPublished Feb 23, 2021The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2020 Nuclear Scholars Initiative and the PONI Conference Series. These papers explore such topics as the impacts of emerging technologies and capabilities, deep-diving on nuclear strategy and national policies, proposing paths forward for addressing proliferation challenges, and enhancing arms control in contentious environments. Series On The Horizon
Analysis / CommentarySurveillance, Situational Awareness, and Warning at the Conventional-Strategic InterfaceByRebecca Hersman and Reja YounisPublished Jan 15, 2021The expansion of dual-capable delivery systems and the diversification of strategic forms of warfare to include cyber, space, and advanced high precision conventional strike capabilities have sharply eroded structural conventional-nuclear firebreaks firebreaks. Series Nuclear Nexus
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityNuclear Command and Civilian Control: Civil-Military Relations and the Use of Nuclear WeaponsByAlice Hunt Friend and Reja YounisPublished Nov 20, 2020In the nuclear realm, the challenge of civilian control is solved with presidential authority. Understanding and addressing the concessions that presidents might make to military expertise surfaces the precarious nature of civilian nuclear command and control. Series Nuclear Nexus
Analysis / CommentaryBreaking the Silo: Examining International Security at the Nuclear NexusByRebecca Hersman, Reja Younis and Maxwell SimonPublished Oct 8, 2020Understanding international security issues at the “nuclear nexus” is critical for managing a contemporary security environment characterized by rapid technological innovation, increased strategic competition, and a looming nuclear shadow. Series Nuclear Nexus
Analysis / CommentaryFINAL REPORT, Under the Nuclear Shadow: Situational Awareness Technology and Crisis DecisionmakingByRebecca Hersman and Reja YounisPublished Mar 19, 2020Informed by research and eight tabletop exercises conducted with nearly 150 participants overall, this two-year study examines implications of the emerging strategic situational awareness ecosystem and its impact on crisis decisionmaking. Read the full report on the On the Radar website.