Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityAUKUS’ Crumbling Public Perceptions ByJasmin AlsaiedPublished Aug 2, 2023There has been progress and criticism surrounding the Australia-United Kingdom-United States Partnership (AUKUS), which aims to provide Australia with nuclear-propelled submarines. Critics, including the nuclear nonproliferation community and China, fear that the deal could lead to nuclear material proliferation. However, proponents argue that AUKUS strengthens the global non-proliferation regime by clarifying the naval nuclear propulsion loophole and setting a precedent for responsible nuclear stewardship.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityCyber-Nuclear Nexus: How Uncertainty Threatens DeterrenceByEva Nour RepussardPublished May 10, 2023The cyber-nuclear nexus—or, simply put, cyberattacks on nuclear weapons and their delivery systems—poses a threat to second strike certainty.
Analysis / CommentaryFuture Steps for U.S.-ROK Extended Deterrence ConsultationsByKelsey HartiganPublished Mar 8, 2023Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin travelled to South Korea last week to shore up U.S. extended deterrence commitments following President Yoon Suk Yeol’s comments about South Korea possibly developing its own nuclear weapons.
Analysis / CommentaryRussia Suspends New START and Increases Nuclear RisksByHeather WilliamsPublished Feb 23, 2023The suspension of New START further contributes to the demise of arms control, and it also eliminates one of the few remaining forums for dialogue between Moscow and Washington at a time of rising nuclear risks.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityPyongyang’s momentum: Moving its nuclear weapons and missile programs forward ByElisabeth I-Mi SuhPublished Apr 4, 2022Despite economic hardships and total isolation, Pyongyang continues developing and modernizing its nuclear weapons program by expanding its capacity to produce fissile materials and grow its materials stockpile, as well as boosting the diversity of its short- to theatre-range delivery systems, and pursuing its newest ICBM.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityNon-Linear, Unpredictable, and Dangerous Crisis-Escalation in South AsiaBySyed Ali Zia JafferyPublished Jan 7, 2022The advent of disruptive technologies and increasing potency of the information landscape is likely to alter the hierarchy of escalation and add to the complexity of the strategic milieu in South Asia.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityIran’s missile program: Two problems, not oneByJohn KrzyzaniakPublished Jun 16, 2021In short, there are really two key issues related to Iran’s ballistic missiles, not one. Although there are few easy answers to either of these, a proper framing is an essential starting point to open up a broader set of ideas and potential solutions.
Analysis / CommentaryReading the Nuclear Tea Leaves: Policy and Posture in the Biden AdministrationByRebecca Hersman and Joseph RodgersPublished Jun 14, 2021The nuclear policy community is once again in the grips of pervasive anxiety that U.S. nuclear policy—encompassing force modernization decisions, declaratory policy, and perceptions of adversary nuclear threat and risk—is either about to dramatically change or fail to change as dramatically as it should. In a polarized community characterized by mistrust and a highly politicized…
Analysis / CommentaryWhat’s Next for Iran Nuclear Talks?ByEric BrewerPublished May 19, 2021Deputy Director Eric Brewer writes about what the next steps are for the Iran nuclear deal.
Analysis / CommentarySalvaging the Iran Nuclear Deal: Round One in Vienna, and What Comes NextByEric BrewerPublished Apr 13, 2021Tough negotiations to save the Iranian nuclear deal are resuming, and they are by no means guaranteed to succeed.