Analysis / ReportIntegrated Arms Control in an Era of Strategic CompetitionByRebecca Hersman, Suzanne Claeys and Dr. Heather WilliamsPublished Jan 25, 2022Can contemporary arms control keep pace with the rapid rate of change in both geopolitics and technology? This study examines the implication and prospects for the future of arms control in a highly competitive security environment in which challenges from advanced technologies and diminished state control over processes of verification become increasingly prominent features, even as the scope and modalities of arms control grow more complex and multifaceted.
Analysis / ReportInfluence and Escalation: Implications of Russian and Chinese Influence Operations for Crisis ManagementByRebecca Hersman, Eric Brewer, Maxwell Simon and Lindsey SheppardPublished Nov 17, 2021As influence operations increasingly engage strategic-level interests, capabilities, and risks—U.S. infrastructure, institutions, elites, or those of our close allies—existing assumptions about their escalatory potential may not prove sound.
Analysis / Next Gen CommunityLatin America Has Offered a Response to Nuclear Uncertainty since 55 Years AgoByLuis RodriguezPublished May 17, 2022This year marks the 55th anniversary of the treaty institutionalizing the first nuclear-weapon-free zone (NWFZ) in a densely populated area. The Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean, commonly known as the Treaty of Tlatelolco, opened for signatures on February 14, 1967. It entered into force on April 22,…
Analysis On the Horizon Vol. 4: A Collection of Papers from the Next Generation of Nuclear ProfessionalsByReja YounisPublished May 13, 2022The Nuclear Scholars Initiative is a signature program run by the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) to engage emerging nuclear experts in thoughtful and informed debate over how to best address the nuclear community’s most pressing problems. The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2021 Nuclear Scholars Initiative. These papers… Series On The Horizon
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityPyongyang’s momentum: Moving its nuclear weapons and missile programs forward ByElisabeth I-Mi SuhPublished Apr 4, 2022Despite economic hardships and total isolation, Pyongyang continues developing and modernizing its nuclear weapons program by expanding its capacity to produce fissile materials and grow its materials stockpile, as well as boosting the diversity of its short- to theatre-range delivery systems, and pursuing its newest ICBM.
Analysis / ReportCSIS European Trilateral Track 2 Nuclear DialoguesByRebecca HersmanPublished Apr 1, 2022Consensus statement from Track 2 participants from the CSIS European Trilateral Track 2 Nuclear Dialogues with the US, UK, and France.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityNon-Linear, Unpredictable, and Dangerous Crisis-Escalation in South AsiaBySyed Ali Zia JafferyPublished Jan 7, 2022The advent of disruptive technologies and increasing potency of the information landscape is likely to alter the hierarchy of escalation and add to the complexity of the strategic milieu in South Asia.
Analysis / External PublicationA Redline for Iran?ByEric BrewerPublished Dec 23, 2021Eric Brewer and Nicholas L. Miller explore Biden’s potential red lines when it comes to the expansion of the Iranian nuclear program.
Analysis / External PublicationGetting to ‘No’ with IranByEric BrewerPublished Dec 1, 2021Deputy Director Eric Brewer and Henry Rome on the “Plan B” options if the Iran Deal does not succeed.
Analysis / External PublicationA Nuclear Iran is Not InevitableByEric BrewerPublished Nov 24, 2021Deputy Director Eric Brewer explains why it is not foretold that Iran will acquire a nuclear weapon.
Analysis / ReportThe Adversary Gets a VoteByRebecca Hersman and Reja YounisPublished Oct 29, 2021As the Department of Defense (DoD) further develops integrated deterrence as its overarching strategic concept, it will become increasingly important to appreciate the stability risks and benefits associated with emerging intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities, from both an arms-race and crisis-management perspective.
Analysis / ReportIran’s Evolving Nuclear Program and Implications for U.S. PolicyByEric BrewerPublished Oct 15, 2021Iran’s nuclear program isn’t what it used to be. Read why that matters for efforts to salvage the JCPOA and any “Plan B” from Deputy Director Eric Brewer.