On the Horizon Vol. 4: A Collection of Papers from the Next Generation of Nuclear Professionals

The Nuclear Scholars Initiative is a signature program run by the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) to engage emerging nuclear experts in thoughtful and informed debate over how to best address the nuclear community’s most pressing problems. The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2021 Nuclear Scholars Initiative. These papers...

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The Nuclear Scholars Initiative is a signature program run by the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) to engage emerging nuclear experts in thoughtful and informed debate over how to best address the nuclear community’s most pressing problems. The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2021 Nuclear Scholars Initiative. These papers explore a range of crucial debates such as the future of arms control and deterrence, emerging technologies, SSBN vulnerability, public opinion, cyber norms, and the role of regional dynamics including China and India in nuclear security.

Table of Contents:

  • Introduction | Reja Younis
  • Lessons Learned from Arms Control with Russia | April Arnold
  • Gamma Spectroscopy Detector Candidates and Radioisotope Identification Algorithms for Use in National Security Applications | Marlene Bencomo
  • A Quiet Place: Assessing SSBN Vulnerability in the Artic Ocean | Nicholas Blanchette
  • Blurring the Line: Conventional Systems and Nuclear Risks in the U.S.-China Relationship | Gerald Brown
  • The Nuclear Sea-Launched Cruise Missile: Worth the Investment for Deterrence | Patty-Jane Geller
  • When Should We Care About New Technology in the Nuclear Domain?: Assessing Emerging Technologies Impacts on Stability | Matt Gilbert
  • Kasa-obake: A Spirited Case against Abandoning the U.S.-Japan Nuclear Umbrella | Julian Gluck
  • The Optics of Deterrence: How Science Assures the Nuclear Stockpile’s Reliability in Lieu of Testing | Chris Johnson
  • Pliable Preferences? The U.S. Public and Missile Defense | Jamie Kwong
  • U.S. Policy Considerations around the Treaty of Tlatelolco and Implications for Other Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone Treaties | Benjamin Linden
  • The Risks of Nuclear Proliferation in the Gulf: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates | Jesse Lubove
  • Toward a Low-Yield Warhead Limiting Agreement | Julia Masterson
  • Poltergeist of the Power Plant: How Antineutrinos Can Support the IAEA Safeguards Mission | Austin Mullen
  • Old Wars, New Tools? Emerging Technologies and Nuclear Risk in South Asia | Beenish Pervaiz
  • The TPNW and the U.S. Arms Control Community: Forever Foes or Potential Partners? | Halley Posner
  • Nuclear Confidence Building through Cyber Norms: A Backdoor to Cooperation | Christian Ruhl
  • Future Tritium Production: Does the United States Need to Reestablish Domestic Uranium Enrichment? | Courtney Ryan
  • India’s Nonproliferation History and Trajectory: Posturing at Home and Abroad | Benjamin Silverstein
  • The Nonproliferation Policy SPIN Cycle: How Not to Leave Data Out to Dry | Jamie Withorne
  • Capacity Building through Participation: Regional Biases in the Multilateral Export Control Regimes and the Implications for U.S. Strategy Trade Policy | Austin Wright

This publication was made possible with support by the National Nuclear Security Administration. This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy National Nuclear Security Administration under Award Number DE-NA0003970.

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