Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityNon-Linear, Unpredictable, and Dangerous Crisis-Escalation in South AsiaBySyed Ali Zia JafferyPublished Jan 7, 2022The advent of disruptive technologies and increasing potency of the information landscape is likely to alter the hierarchy of escalation and add to the complexity of the strategic milieu in South Asia.
Analysis / Next Gen CommunityRussia’s New Nuclear Weapons: Responding To The ProblemByAkshai VikramPublished Sep 27, 2021While terrifying in their own right, the Russian hypersonic systems discussed here only underscore the threat of nuclear conflict – a threat that has existed for decades. They exacerbate existing dangers, sometimes in intriguing ways, but do not fundamentally reshape the seemingly always perilous U.S.-Russian strategic relationship.
Analysis / CommentaryReading the Nuclear Tea Leaves: Policy and Posture in the Biden AdministrationByRebecca Hersman and Joseph RodgersPublished Jun 14, 2021The nuclear policy community is once again in the grips of pervasive anxiety that U.S. nuclear policy—encompassing force modernization decisions, declaratory policy, and perceptions of adversary nuclear threat and risk—is either about to dramatically change or fail to change as dramatically as it should. In a polarized community characterized by mistrust and a highly politicized…
Analysis / Next Gen Community, ReportOn the Horizon: A Collection of the Papers from the Next GenerationByReja YounisPublished Feb 23, 2021The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2020 Nuclear Scholars Initiative and the PONI Conference Series. These papers explore such topics as the impacts of emerging technologies and capabilities, deep-diving on nuclear strategy and national policies, proposing paths forward for addressing proliferation challenges, and enhancing arms control in contentious environments. Series On The Horizon
Analysis / Commentary2020 Consensus Statement: European Trilateral Track 2 Nuclear DialoguesByRebecca HersmanPublished Jan 22, 2021In 2020, the European Trilateral Track 2 Nuclear Dialogues convened senior nuclear policy experts from the United Kingdom, France, and the United States to discuss nuclear deterrence, arms control, and nonproliferation issues and identify areas of consensus among the P3.
Analysis / ReportDeep Dive Debrief: U.S. Nuclear Warhead Modernization and “New” Nuclear WeaponsByRebecca Hersman and Joseph RodgersPublished Dec 11, 2020The brief examines the debate surrounding the development of U.S. nuclear warheads and whether the United States is creating “new” nuclear weapons. Series Deep Dive Debrief
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityNuclear South Asia at 22ByAnkit KPublished Nov 10, 2020It has been 22 years since India and Pakistan conducted their first nuclear weapons tests, igniting one of the worlds’ most dynamic nuclear deterrence relationships.[1] The series of tests that were conducted at the turn of the century marked the beginning of an unconventional security competition between India and Pakistan which continues till today. Over…
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityThe Conventional Force Perspective: Nuclear Integration in Doctrine, Concepts, and ExercisesByAdam Saxton and Mark CancianPublished Oct 8, 2020What would detailed conventional nuclear integration in doctrine, concepts, and large-scale exercises look like? Joint concepts inform high-level military doctrine, which in turn provides guidance on what the military should aim to achieve through planning and training in large-scale exercises. Series Nuclear Nexus
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityInferring from signaling: North Korea’s deterrence strategy and bargaining tacticByBetty SuhPublished Aug 7, 2020What might Pyongyang’s continued missile tests, public statements, and military exercises signal ahead of the 75th anniversary of the Workers’ Party of Korea?
Analysis / ReportOn the Horizon Volume 2: A Collection of Papers from the Next GenerationBySimone Williams and Rebecca HersmanPublished Apr 14, 2020The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2019 Nuclear Scholars Initiative and the PONI Conference Series. Series On The Horizon