Informed by research and eight tabletop exercises conducted with nearly 150 participants overall, this two-year study examines implications of the emerging strategic situational awareness ecosystem and its impact on crisis decisionmaking. Read the full report on the On the Radar website.
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Analysis
Read PONI-community research from emerging scholars and expert authors.
analysis
CSIS European Trilateral Track 2 Nuclear Dialogues, 2019 Consensus Statement
The European Trilateral Track 2 Nuclear Dialogues have convened senior nuclear policy experts from the United Kingdom, France, and the United States (P3) for the past eleven years to discuss nuclear deterrence, arms control, and nonproliferation policy issues and identify areas of consensus among the three countries.
analysis
North Korean nuclear threat is here
Kim Jong Un has done a good job keeping the United States guessing about his next nuclear provocation. North Korea had threatened that it would pursue a more hardline “new path” by the end of last year unless the United States dropped its “hostile” policies toward the country.
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Iran’s Recent Nuclear Announcement in the Context of Rising Regional Tensions
On January 5—amidst quickly escalating tensions between the United States and Iran—Tehran announced its latest steps to walk back its commitments to the 2015 nuclear deal.
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Rigid Structures, Evolving Threat: Preventing the Proliferation and Use of Chemical Weapons
Chemical weapons are back. Since 2012, the growing number and types of CW uses have increasingly challenged the anti-CW regime.
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Understanding Iran’s Nuclear Escalation Strategy
Iran is back in the nuclear game.
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Will Nuclear Weapons Make A Comeback?
Only a handful of countries worldwide have nuclear weapons, and the risk of new entrants into the club, most experts agree, is relatively low.
analysisNext Gen Perspectives
Weapons in the Hand of God: The Russian Orthodox Church and Russia’s Nuclear Weapons Establishment
It was early September 1943. The Soviets had just won a major victory over the Germans in Stalingrad.
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When is More Actually Less? Situational Awareness and Nuclear Risks
As increasingly capable and provocative situational awareness tools come into play, the very act of improving situational awareness may intensify escalation cycles in unanticipated ways, particularly among nuclear-armed states.
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The Deterrence and Assurance Conversation
As we survey the world today, we find the nuclear landscape to be more uncertain and precarious than it has been at any time since the end of the Cold War.




