Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityPeace vs. Guarantee for Continued LifeByZachary Averett and CSIS PONIPublished Aug 2, 2016Is the balance between world security and the guarantee of continued life on this planet a possible scenario? Even if it’s not, perhaps the lesser of both evils is the right choice in this conundrum.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityBrexit and the Trident Renewal: More Questions than Answers for NATO’s Nuclear DeterrentByJared Dunnmon and CSIS PONIPublished Jul 20, 2016The Trident system is a key operational component of the NATO deterrent architecture, and without an effective infrastructure to support Trident, NATO may find itself in the new, and unenviable position of relative nuclear weakness.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityTowards Improving the United Nations Nonproliferation MandateBySarah Shirazyan and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 27, 2016The successful implementation of UN Resolution 1540 depends on the committee’s ability to create an environment where member states can develop a sense of local ownership for the resolution.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityU.S.-China Nuclear Deterrence and The South China SeaByBrittney Washington and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 27, 2016With the possibility that China will deploy its JIN-class submarine fleet during this contentious time, dialogue between the US and China has become evermore important in order to avoid misunderstandings that could lead to escalation to conventional or even a nuclear confrontation.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityEngineering and PolicyByAlex Stevenson and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 23, 2016Sensible policy aspirations must balance aspirational visions of the future with a clear understanding of the cost and value of the nuclear weapons engineering enterprise.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityThe Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant: A Tale of Success or Tragedy? TBDByJamelee Bal and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 16, 2016While moving ahead with the project asserts Turkey’s commitment to commercial nuclear collaboration, the country is not ready for the Akkuyu NPP, nor is the world ready for another Fukushima incident.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityDeterring Nuclear TerrorismByMatthew Costlow and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 15, 2016Shaping terrorist adversaries’ perceptions of U.S. security is possible, and convincing them that an attempted attack with a radiological or nuclear device would fail and would have devastating consequences should remain one of America’s highest priorities.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityWaiting for Washington: U.S. clarity and guidance are vital to the JCPOAByMinsu Crowder-Han and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 14, 2016While it is often difficult to parse reasonable criticisms from Iran’s standard litany of anti-U.S. rhetoric, complaints that the United States is not upholding its end of the deal are not entirely unfounded. It has long been understood that the bulk of the new trade and investment that Iran could expect under the JCPOA would not come from the United States, given the extensive web of U.S. sanctions that would remain in place, but from Europe, Russia, and China.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityModerate the alliance outliersByTimothy Stafford and CSIS PONIPublished Jun 4, 2016Both South Korea and Turkey enjoy explicit nuclear guarantees. Yet under the Obama administration, relations with each have lurched to opposite ends of the ‘reassurance spectrum.’ As a result, both feel less secure than they should.
Analysis / Commentary, Next Gen CommunityIf We Were Them, Would We Be Deterred?ByJames L. Gutierrez and CSIS PONIPublished May 26, 2016The success of deterrence has become increasingly difficult to measure. While nuclear weapons are still successfully used every day to deter some adversaries the question remains are all adversaries deterred by our nuclear forces?