Nuclear Policy News – March 5, 2019

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Russia Officially Suspends INF Treaty With US
Al Jazeera

Moon Lauds North Korea’s Nuclear Offer, Splitting With Trump

Are Nuclear Weapons Keeping The India-Pakistan Crisis From Escalating — Or Making It More Dangerous?
Washington Post


Russia Officially Suspends INF Treaty With US
Al Jazeera3/4/2019
In a statement on Monday, the Kremlin said the suspension would last until the US “ends its violations of the treaty or until it terminates.”

Russia Follows U.S. Out of Landmark Nuclear Weapons Treaty
New York Times3/4/2019
President Vladimir V. Putin on Monday formally suspended Russia’s observance of a key nuclear arms treaty that the United States withdrew from last month, setting the stage for the return of a long-banned class of weapons.

East Asia

U.S.-North Korea Nuclear Talks Must Resume Quickly, Says Worried South
Wall Street Journal3/4/2019
Troubled by the failure of the U.S. and North Korea to reach a deal on sanctions relief in exchange for Pyongyang’s disarmament, South Korea is pressing the two sides to return to negotiations to prevent the diplomatic detente from unraveling.

Moon Lauds North Korea’s Nuclear Offer, Splitting With Trump
In a meeting to discuss the summit last week in Hanoi between Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un, Moon on Monday lauded North Korea’s offer to dismantle the Yongbyon nuclear complex. He also called for pushing ahead with inter-Korean projects currently hindered by sanctions and said the two sides discussed the “partial” lifting of sanctions — backing North Korea’s version of events.

Why The Second U.S.-North Korea Summit Dealt A Setback To South Korea’s Plans
South Korea is trying to keep negotiations between the U.S. and North Korea moving ahead after last week’s summit in Vietnam ended without a new deal. When the talks collapsed, it dealt a setback to South Korea’s plans to engage with the North. NPR’s Anthony Kuhn has more from Seoul.

South Asia

Why the India-Pakistan Crisis Isn’t Likely to Turn Nuclear
Foreign Affairs3/5/2019
Worried analysts now fear that, since India and Pakistan have breached the informal norm against using power across the border, they will be unable to prevent further escalation.

Middle East

EU Trade Tool Seeks to Save Iran Nuclear Deal
Arms Control Association3/4/2019
France, Germany, and the United Kingdom established a trade mechanism in January designed to facilitate commercial transactions with Iran as the United States ratchets up pressure on Tehran. The new structure aims to allow European entities to maintain trade with Iran, but it remains unclear how the new arrangement will affect Iran’s commitment to the 2015 multilateral nuclear deal.

Can Trump’s Chaotic Foreign Policy Handle the Ticking Time Bomb in Iran?
Georgetown Public Policy Review3/3/2019
Iran intensifies its ballistic missile program under the guidance of an aging Supreme Leader with no apparent successor. Can Trump’s chaotic foreign policy deal with Iran as America becomes more distant from its European allies and Russia and China grow bolder in challenging the US?

Opinion and Analysis

Are Nuclear Weapons Keeping The India-Pakistan Crisis From Escalating — Or Making It More Dangerous?
Washington Post3/5/2019
Before Pakistan released a captured Indian pilot who had ejected over its territory, some observers worried that the crisis could have escalated into a nuclear conflict. Others, however, would likely credit nuclear weapons with getting both countries to step back from the brink. Which is it? The crisis is just the latest chapter in a long-running debate about the consequences of nuclear weapons.

The Chaotic Trump-Kim Summit Aftermath, Explained
Vox – Alex Ward3/4/2019
The aftermath of President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s unsuccessful summit in Vietnam last week has been nothing short of startling.

Special Interest

The “Consensual Straitjacket”: Four Decades of Women in Nuclear Security
New America3/5/2019
This study tells the stories of nearly two dozen women with decades of experience in nuclear, arms control, and non-proliferation policy. They have much to teach us, not just about the history of the field but about its future—how to keep it thriving, fill it with vital and innovative talent, and connect it with the best thinking about security, from which it has been too often cut off.

Here’s What You Should Do if a Nuclear Bomb Explodes Nearby
No one could fault you for panicking after the sight and roar of a nuclear blast. But there is one thing you should never do, according to Brooke Buddemeier, a health physicist and radiation expert at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. “Don’t get in your car,” he tells Business Insider. Don’t try to drive, and don’t assume that the glass and metal of a vehicle can protect you

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