Nuclear Policy News – March 15, 2018

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Saudi crown prince says will develop nuclear bomb if Iran does: CBS TV
Reuters

IAEA Director General in Pakistan: Nuclear Power and SDGs Highlighted
IAEA News Centre

‘Denuclearization’ may be the goal of U.S.-North Korean summit, but each side defines it differently
The Washington PostAnne Gearan

To prevent nuclear war, borrow from 1973
Bulletin of the Atomic ScientistsAdam M. Scheinman

 

MIDDLE EAST

Saudi crown prince says will develop nuclear bomb if Iran does: CBS TV
Reuters3/15/18
Saudi Arabia will develop a nuclear bomb if its arch-rival Iran does so, the kingdom’s 32-year-old crown prince said in a preview of a television interview released on Thursday.

Saudi crown prince: If Iran develops nuclear bomb, so will Saudi
CBS News3/15/18
The next leader of Saudi Arabia says his country would quickly obtain a nuclear bomb if arch rival Iran successfully develops its own nuclear weapon.

If Iran gets nuclear bomb, Saudi Arabia will follow suit, says crown prince
Dawn3/15/18
Likening Iran’s leader to Hitler, Saudi Arabia’s crown prince warned in a United States television interview that if Tehran gets a nuclear weapon, his country will follow suit.

Tillerson’s dismissal may hasten demise of Iran nuclear deal
ABC News3/15/18
The Iran nuclear deal was in near terminal condition and on life support even before President Donald Trump fired Secretary of State Rex Tillerson. Tillerson’s dismissal this week may hasten its demise.

U.S. general: It’s in our interests to stay in nuclear deal
Tehran Times3/14/18
U.S. Army General Joseph Votel signaled on Tuesday support for the 2015 nuclear deal, saying “right now, I think it is in our interest” to stay in the deal.

Tillerson sacking spells doom for Iran nuclear deal
The Express Tribune3/14/18
President Donald Trump’s sacking of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson could sound the death knell for the Iran nuclear deal and further strain US ties with key European allies.

SOUTH ASIA

IAEA Director General in Pakistan: Nuclear Power and SDGs Highlighted
IAEA News Centre3/15/18
IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano commended efforts by Pakistan to increase nuclear safety and security as the country works to triple its nuclear power capacity.

IAEA chief impressed by Pakistan’s nuclear safety standards
The Express Tribune3/15/18
Nuclear security has been the heart of international debate since the inception of nuclear technology.

Karachi nuclear power plants heavily protected: IAEA chief
Dawn3/15/18
International Ato­mic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Yukiya Amano has praised the arrangements made for the security of nuclear power plants operating in Karachi.

OPINION AND ANALYSIS

WHY AMERICA MUST MODERNIZE ITS NUCLEAR FORCES
War on the RocksPeter Huessy
3/15/18
America’s nuclear force is aging: U.S. land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) are now 47 years old, the B-52 strategic bomber is approaching 50 years, and the submarines are approaching 40 years — the longest any U.S. submarine has ever been at sea.

WOTR PODCAST: A BIG DEBATE ABOUT A LITTLE NUKE
War on the RocksFrank Miller, Olga Oliker, Vipin Narang, Usha Sahay, and Ryan Evans
3/14/18
Why are so many people at odds over low-yield nuclear weapons? Well, it turns out, this debate touches on a megaton of interesting questions, including how Russia sees its own nuclear arsenal, how it envisions nuclear strategy, how the Kremlin understands the deterrence, and how we might prevent a nuclear war.

To prevent nuclear war, borrow from 1973
Bulletin of the Atomic ScientistsAdam M. Scheinman
3/14/18
North Korea’s nuclear build-up continues. Vladimir Putin announced on March 1 that Russia had developed new nuclear weapons—an announcement timed, no doubt, to one-up the US Nuclear Posture Review, which was released in February. Amid developments such as these, some observers worry that nuclear weapons are back, big time.

India and Pakistan: Inching Toward Their Final War?
The National Interest Mohammed Ayoob
3/14/18
Both India and Pakistan have between 120 and 140 nuclear warheads, according to estimates provided by the Arms Control Association. However a report produced in 2015 by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the Stimson Center asserts that Pakistan may be outpacing India in terms of its nuclear stockpile, and may possess 350 nuclear warheads in the next five to ten years.

A cautionary tale for dealing with Riyadh
The HillHenry Sokolski
3/14/18
As Washington mulls granting Saudi Arabia a permissive civilian nuclear cooperative agreement in the name of peace and prosperity, it should understand we’ve been here before.

‘Denuclearization’ may be the goal of U.S.-North Korean summit, but each side defines it differently
The Washington PostAnne Gearan
3/14/18
President Trump says he will “talk denuclearization” at his planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un — a word he has emphasized to underscore the tough line he plans to take in the most surprising foreign policy development of his presidency.

The US Navy Should Start Weaning its Reactors off Bomb-Grade Uranium
Defense OneAlan J. Kuperman
3/13/18
Most of the world’s reactors use low-enriched uranium. There are at least three good reasons the U.S. fleet should as well.

PUTIN’S BOASTING ABOUT NUCLEAR WEAPONS WON’T HELP HIM IN THE RUSSIAN ELECTION
NewsweekWilliam Courtney and Miriam Matthews
3/15/18
In a March 1 address to the nation, Russian President Vladimir Putin evoked Soviet-era exaggeration. He proclaimed barely feasible economic and social goals and boasted of nuclear arms that are unlikely to change the strategic balance.

SPECIAL INTEREST

How a Nuclear Attack on North Korea Would Spark a Global Cancer Epidemic
The National InterestAndrew Marks
3/14/18
With tensions high between the United States and North Korea, there is the possibility that the U.S. would launch a “tactical” nuclear strike in the Korean peninsula. There would be consequences far beyond damage to military sites proposed in such an attack.

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