Nuclear Policy News – June 17, 2020

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ANALYSIS: A farewell to the Open Skies Treaty, and an era of imaginative thinking
Brookings Institution

ANALYSIS: For China and India, a border dispute that never ended
New York Times

United States

ANALYSIS: A farewell to the Open Skies Treaty, and an era of imaginative thinking
Brookings InstitutionBonnie Jenkins
While the types of challenges we face today are not NATO versus the Warsaw Pact, there are certainly challenges that warrant continued transparency, and that can help promote confidence-building and trust.


NATO chief: No firm plan agreed for pulling U.S. troops from Germany
The Guardian6/16/20
Trump threatened withdrawal after accusing Germany of not spending enough on military.

ANALYSIS: The Borei-A SSBN: How effective is Russia’s new nuclear submarine?
Jamestown FoundationMaxim Starchak
On June 12, the first Borei-A class ballistic missile submarine (SSBN), the Knyaz Vladimir, officially entered service with the Russian Northern Fleet.

Middle East

German intel report lays bare Iran’s attempts to obtain nuclear proliferation technology
Fox News6/16/20
In a section titled “Proliferation,” the 181-page Baden-Württemberg state intelligence agency document reviewed by Fox News states that Iran, Pakistan, North Korea and Syria are “still pursuing” such efforts.

Saudi Arabia expresses concern over Iran’s continued violations of nuclear deal
Saudi Gazette6/16/20
Saudi Arabia has expressed its concern over Iran’s repeated violations of its nuclear agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency.

East Asia

OPINION: How to save diplomacy with North Korea
The DiplomatDaniel R. DePetris
If the United States hopes to get anywhere with North Korea, it needs to stop following the old playbook and move denuclearization to the side.

OPINION: Canceling Aegis Ashore raises problems – and hopes
Japan TimesBrad Glosserman
Defense Minister Taro Kono has announced suspending the planned deployment of the Aegis Ashore ballistic missile defense system.

ANALYSIS: A guide to North Korea’s crisis playbook
The DiplomatKhang Vu
The current “crisis” in inter-Korean relations follows a similar pattern from Pyongyang.

ANALYSIS: Trump’s North Korea peace drive is over
New York MagazineHeather Hurlburt
It seems unlikely that North Korea’s return to bullying tactics will yield anything but more fear and instability.

South Asia

ANALYSIS: For China and India, a border dispute that never ended
New York TimesMarc Santora
The countries went to war over the boundary in the Himalayas in 1962. Despite an uneasy truce and a “Line of Actual Control,” clashes still erupt.

ANALYSIS: The strength of India and China’s defense forces compared
Business Insider IndiaNavdeep Yadav
China ranked second in military spending, as it has since 2008 with military outlays totaling up to $261 billion, and India ranks third with military outlays totaling 71.1 billion.

ANALYSIS: The strategic postures of China and India: A visual guide
Belfer Center for Science and International AffairsFrank O’Donnell and Alexander K. Bollfrass
This report analyzes the conventional and nuclear balance between China and India in shared their border areas.

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