Nuclear Policy News – January 10, 2018

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TOP NEWS

US to loosen nuclear weapons constraints and develop more ‘usable’ warheads
The Guardian

Amid Signs of a Thaw in North Korea, Tensions Bubble Up
Wall Street Journal

Trump is staring down a deadline to keep the Iran nuclear deal alive
CNBC

 

EAST ASIA

North Korea Wins Olympics Trip, But Discord Remains Over Nuclear Weapons
Bloomberg 1/9/2018
Despite the frictions over nuclear weapons, the two sides agreed Tuesday to hold a military dialogue and resolve problems through negotiations. They plan to hold another round of talks, though haven’t yet agreed on the date.

Is economic struggle driving North Korea to negotiating table?
BBC 1/10/2018
He’s developed the weapons he believes he needs, and has what he thinks to be an effective nuclear deterrent necessary for his regime’s survival. But with a weakening economy what he may now need is help to offset the effect of sanctions.

Amid Signs of a Thaw in North Korea, Tensions Bubble Up
Wall Street Journal 1/9/2018
Trump administration weighs a risky strategy as Seoul and Pyongyang prepare to meet.

North Korea’s Chemical Weapons Most Overlooked Threat from Rogue State, Experts Warn
Newsweek 1/10/2018
North Korea’s nuclear weapons program continuously makes headlines, which is overshadowing the danger posed by its chemical and biological weapons, members of Congress and experts warn.

Trump admin approves $133 million anti-ballistic missile sale to Japan
CNN 1/9/2018
he Trump administration notified Congress on Tuesday that it has approved the potential sale of SM-3 anti-ballistic missiles to Japan in a deal estimated to be worth $133.3 million, according to a State Department statement.

 MIDDLE EAST

Trump is staring down a deadline to keep the Iran nuclear deal alive
CNBC 1/10/2018
President Donald Trump has multiple opportunities to scrap the Iran nuclear agreement in the coming days, and the energy market will be watching for signs that his patience with an accord he calls the “worst deal ever” is wearing thin.

Corker: Scrapping Iran deal could make North Korea ‘more difficult’
The Hill 1/9/2018
Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) warned Tuesday that withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal could have consequences for the ongoing crisis with North Korea as President Trump faces critical deadlines on the accord.

U.S. NUCLEAR POLICY

US to loosen nuclear weapons constraints and develop more ‘usable’ warheads
The Guardian 1/9/2018
The Trump administration plans to loosen constraints on the use of nuclear weapons and develop a new low-yield nuclear warhead for US Trident missiles, according to a former official who has seen the most recent draft of a policy review.

OPINION AND ANALYSIS

The Myth of the Limited Strike on North Korea
Foreign Affairs Abraham Denmark
1/9/2018
Any strike would risk igniting a full-blown war on the Korean Peninsula that would endanger millions of lives and ultimately diminish U.S. power and influence in the Asia-Pacific.

North and South Korea Have a Breakthrough. What Next?
National Interest Joseph Cirincione
1/9/2018
Whether the United States enters the room once invited, and whether this diplomatic moment can be extended into a genuine diplomatic solution to the most serious nuclear crisis in the world, depends, unfortunately, on the mercurial temperament and political fortunes of the most unpredictable president in American history.

‘Much Bigger’ Buttons Have Nothing to Do With Deterrence
Foreign Policy Paul Miller
1/9/2018
Trump isn’t wrong to believe that saber rattling is a sound, underutilized tool of statecraft. But he risks giving it a bad name with his schoolyard insults, and he is likely to end up achieving the opposite of what he intends.

 On Iran, Trump Should Be Like Reagan
Politico Richard Goldberg and Dennis Ross
1/9/2018
There is always a middle path to discover in foreign policy—and, in this case, a path that can uphold American values, defend our national security and keep our commitments to close allies.

The Iranian protests are an opportunity for Trump — just not the one he wants
Washington Post William Burns and Jake Sullivan
1/8/2018
The Trump administration could reset its Iran policy in a way that puts Washington back in the lead and Tehran on the diplomatic defensive.

Trump’s nuclear-button tweet was a stroke of ‘stable genius’
Washington Post Marc Thiessen
1/10/2018
His recent tweet telling Pyongyang that his nuclear button is “much bigger & more powerful” than Kim Jong Un’s was neither unstable nor stupid.

 

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