Nuclear Policy News – August 4, 2021

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Top News:

U.S. will not accept nuclear North Korea despite North Korean ambitions: U.S. official
The Korea Times

Iran nuclear deal talks are stuck after substantial progress, negotiator says
CNBC

ANALYSIS: Appraising the Hague Code of Conduct
International Institute for Strategic Studies

United States

Nuclear Posture Review ‘will change little’ at NNSA, agency weapons boss speculates
Exchange Monitor8/4/21
Whatever changes the Joe Biden administration’s nuclear posture review prescribes to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in the U.S. national defense strategy, the nuclear production complex will have the same needs as it does now.

East Asia

U.S. will not accept nuclear North Korea despite North Korean ambitions: U.S. official
The Korea Times8/4/21
The United States will never accept a nuclear-armed North Korea despite the latter’s apparent ambition to become a nuclear state, a ranking U.S. intelligence official said Tuesday.

North Korea wants sanctions eased on metal, fuel and ‘liquor and suits’ to restart U.S. talks
The Guardian8/3/21
North Korea wants a raft of international sanctions eased – including on imports of luxury items such as high-class liquors and suits – before it will restart denuclearisation talks with the United States, South Korean lawmakers have said.

Middle East

Saudi Arabia to back Iran nuclear deal if Tehran never gets nuclear weapons: Saudi Foreign Minister
The Times of India8/4/21
Saudi Arabia will support a nuclear deal with Iran as long as long as the agreement ensures Tehran will never acquire nuclear weapons, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud said on Tuesday.

Gantz: Iran is 10 weeks from breakout to a nuclear weapon
The Jerusalem Post8/4/21
“Iran has violated all of the guidelines set in the JCPOA [nuclear agreement] and is only around 10 weeks away from acquiring weapons-grade materials necessary for a nuclear weapon,” Gantz warned.

Iran nuclear deal talks are stuck after substantial progress, negotiator says
CNBC8/3/21
The fragile discussions over the revival of the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal were about two weeks away from reaching a conclusion in June, but several complicated items remain unresolved, according to a senior German government official participating in the talks.

ANALYSIS: Understanding the shadow war between Israel and Iran
The Washington PostDaniel Avis
8/4/21
Israel’s objectives include thwarting Iran’s nuclear program and containing its wider influence in the region. Recent shadow attacks by Iran are widely seen as brinkmanship aimed at improving its leverage in talks to revive the 2015 accord in which world powers lifted sanctions in exchange for restrictions on Tehran’s nuclear program.

Russia

OPINION: Putin’s flying nuclear command center presents a Doomsday scenario indeed
The HillRebekah Koffler
8/4/21
The recent development is yet another step in Putin’s preparation for a “shooting” conflict with the United States, which Moscow believes is unavoidable.

Arms Control

ANALYSIS: Appraising the Hague Code of Conduct
International Institute for Strategic StudiesDmitry Stefanovich and Timothy Wright
8/3/21
Doomed to failure or an adaptable arms-control tool? Dmitry Stefanovich and Timothy Wright examine how the emergence of new missile technologies, including hypersonic-boost glide vehicles, is testing the limits of the International Code of Conduct against Ballistic Missile Proliferation.

PODCAST: The future of arms control, with Rose Gottemoeller
The President’s Inbox8/3/21
Rose Gottemoeller, former deputy secretary general of NATO and Payne distinguished lecturer at Stanford University’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and its Center for International Security and Cooperation, sits down with James M. Lindsay to discuss the efforts to regulate, if not eliminate, nuclear weapons.

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